Marco Cecchinato vs Daniel Michalski Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In analyzing the upcoming tennis match between Michalski and Cecchinato, a number of statistical factors offer insight into each player's potential performance. Over the past six months, Michalski has demonstrated a slightly better performance on their second serve, winning 44.77% of points compared to Cecchinato's 42.01%. This indicator is significant for predicting match outcomes.

Their performance in return games is closely contested. Michalski has managed to win 47.02% of their opponent's second serve points, while Cecchinato has slightly outperformed with 48.73%. For first serve return points, Michalski has won 29.68% and Cecchinato 26.96%, a crucial aspect for forecasting this matchup.

When under pressure, Cecchinato has been more successful, saving 59.15% of breakpoints compared to Michalski's 45.85%. This could play a pivotal role during crucial points in the match. Both players have comparable breakpoint conversion rates, with Michalski converting 34.97% of opportunities, while Cecchinato converts at 34.48%.

Examining their performance over the last year, Michalski comes out ahead, winning 67.57% of his matches, with a record of 50 wins and 24 losses. Cecchinato trails with a 54.55% win rate, acquiring 30 wins and 25 losses. The difference suggests that Michalski might hold an edge based on recent form.

Surface performance also plays a significant role in predictions. Both players excel on clay courts, with Michalski having a 66% win rate and Cecchinato posting a 62% win rate. However, Michalski's weaker performance on indoor hard courts (45%) contrasts with Cecchinato's struggles on grass (18%).

In terms of player level, Michalski has predominantly competed in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, winning 76.74% of his matches. Conversely, Cecchinato has mainly participated in Challengers/ITF tournaments, achieving a 54.55% win rate.

Head-to-head history slightly favors Cecchinato, who won their only previous match at the Lisbon Challenger on September 27, 2022, in two straight sets (6-1, 6-2). This demonstrates Cecchinato's capability to outperform Michalski in direct confrontations.

Comparing the quality of opponents over the last 12 months, Michalski’s average opponent ranking was 427.78, compared to Cecchinato’s 328.35, suggesting Cecchinato has faced tougher competition.

Considering deciding set performance, Michalski has a higher success rate, winning 60% of such sets in the past year, compared to Cecchinato's 43%. This may indicate an edge if the match extends into a final set.

Taking all these statistics into account, the upcoming match between Michalski and Cecchinato appears competitive. However, given the higher opponent quality Cecchinato has faced, combined with his head-to-head advantage, Cecchinato is slightly favored to win.